{ "schemaVersion": "1", "dataVersion": "v1", "methodVersion": "v1", "label": "Archived data edition v1", "coverage": "1977–2024", "sourceSummary": "GDP: 2026-04-09 update · CPI-U: 2026-09-11 release · U-3: 2026-09-04 release", "manifestUrl": "/data/blind-record/v1/edition.json", "notes": [ "Twelve completed four-year calendar windows; the days before inauguration are included.", "These figures describe economic outcomes during the period. They do not isolate a president’s causal contribution.", "This is a frozen historical data edition, not a live latest-vintage feed. Missing required observations invalidate the entire edition.", "U-3 start and end levels use December immediately before the window and December of its final calendar year.", "Display precision is one decimal; calculations retain the full source precision." ], "sources": [ { "key": "gdp", "agency": "U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; republished by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis", "seriesId": "GDPCA", "sourceUrl": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPCA", "publishedOn": null, "updatedOn": "2026-04-09", "retrievedOn": null, "dateLabel": "Source update April 9, 2026", "description": "Annual real GDP, billions of chained 2017 dollars. Archived source update, not a claim to incorporate subsequent revisions. The original repository did not record an extraction date.", "inputCoverage": "1976–2024", "unit": "Billions of chained 2017 dollars", "frequency": "annual", "seasonalAdjustment": "Not seasonally adjusted", "repositorySource": "lib/gdp.ts" }, { "key": "inflation", "agency": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "seriesId": "CUUR0000SA0", "sourceUrl": "https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/cu/cu.data.1.AllItems", "definitionUrl": "https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/cu/cu.series", "releaseUrl": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_09112026.htm", "publishedOn": "2026-09-11", "updatedOn": null, "retrievedOn": "2026-09-30", "dateLabel": "Released September 11, 2026; extracted September 30, 2026", "description": "CPI-U, all items, U.S. city average. The release covers August 2026; this edition retains only observations needed for completed-term comparisons.", "inputCoverage": "1976-01–2024-12", "sourceReleaseLatestMonth": "2026-08", "unit": "Index, 1982–84 = 100", "frequency": "monthly", "seasonalAdjustment": "Not seasonally adjusted", "repositorySource": "lib/cpi-monthly.json" }, { "key": "unemployment", "agency": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "seriesId": "LNS14000000", "sourceUrl": "https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/ln/ln.data.1.AllData", "definitionUrl": "https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/ln/ln.series", "releaseUrl": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_09042026.htm", "publishedOn": "2026-09-04", "updatedOn": null, "retrievedOn": "2026-10-01", "dateLabel": "Released September 4, 2026; extracted October 1, 2026", "description": "U-3 civilian unemployment rate, age 16 years and over. The release covers August 2026; this edition retains historical observations through December 2024.", "inputCoverage": "1976-01–2024-12", "sourceReleaseLatestMonth": "2026-08", "unit": "Percent", "frequency": "monthly", "seasonalAdjustment": "Seasonally adjusted", "repositorySource": "lib/jobs-monthly.json", "footnoteUrl": "https://download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/ln/ln.footnote", "footnotes": { "1": "Data affected by changes in population controls.", "2": "Constructed on the 2002 Census Industry Classification from data originally coded on earlier classifications. Official series was not revised.", "3": "2000 forward coded on the 2002 Census Occupation Classification. 1983-99 constructed from data originally coded on earlier classifications.", "4": "2000 forward coded on the 2002 Census Industry Classification. 1983-99 constructed from data originally coded on earlier classifications.", "7": "Data do not meet publication criteria.", "8": "This series id code has been discontinued; data are available using the database tool at www.bls.gov/webapps/legacy/cpsatab8.htm.", "9": "Data unavailable due to the 2025 lapse in appropriations.", "10": "Data for Q4 2025 were not produced. Data for October 2025 were not collected due to the federal government shutdown.", "11": "Annual estimates for 2025 are 11-month averages that exclude October. Data for October 2025 were not collected due to the federal government shutdown.", "12": "January 2026 estimates were revised to incorporate updated population controls. For more information, see www.bls.gov/cps/documentation.htm#pop.", "C": "Corrected" } } ], "methods": { "average": { "gdp": { "label": "Average annual real GDP growth", "formula": "mean(100 × (GDP[y] / GDP[y−1] − 1)), y = Y…E", "unit": "%", "requiredObservations": 5 }, "inflation": { "label": "Average annual inflation", "formula": "mean(100 × (C[y] / C[y−1] − 1)), where C[y] is the mean of 12 monthly CPI indexes; y = Y…E", "unit": "%", "requiredObservations": 60 }, "unemployment": { "label": "Average unemployment rate", "formula": "mean(U3[January Y…December E])", "unit": "%", "requiredObservations": 48 } }, "change": { "gdp": { "label": "Real GDP change", "formula": "100 × (GDP[E] / GDP[Y−1] − 1)", "unit": "%", "meaning": "Cumulative change, not annualized; annual-average GDP levels." }, "inflation": { "label": "Consumer price change", "formula": "100 × (CPI[December E] / CPI[December Y−1] − 1)", "unit": "%", "meaning": "Cumulative change over 48 months, not annualized." }, "unemployment": { "label": "Unemployment rate change", "formula": "U3[December E] − U3[December Y−1]", "unit": "pp", "requiredObservations": 49 } }, "definitions": { "Y": "First calendar year", "E": "Y + 3", "inflationMethodUrl": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/factsheets/calculating-percent-changes.htm" }, "shuffle": { "method": "Fisher–Yates, descending indices, Mulberry32 uint32 generator", "canonicalCandidateOrder": "The candidates array in this manifest", "labelAssignment": "A–L assigned after one seeded shuffle; unchanged by display sorting, metric order or mode." } }, "candidates": [ { "id": "carter", "name": "Jimmy Carter", "start": 1977, "end": 1980 }, { "id": "reagan-i", "name": "Ronald Reagan I", "start": 1981, "end": 1984 }, { "id": "reagan-ii", "name": "Ronald Reagan II", "start": 1985, "end": 1988 }, { "id": "bush-hw", "name": "George H. W. Bush", "start": 1989, "end": 1992 }, { "id": "clinton-i", "name": "Bill Clinton I", "start": 1993, "end": 1996 }, { "id": "clinton-ii", "name": "Bill Clinton II", "start": 1997, "end": 2000 }, { "id": "bush-w-i", "name": "George W. Bush I", "start": 2001, "end": 2004 }, { "id": "bush-w-ii", "name": "George W. 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"" }, { "month": "1986-04", "value": 108.6, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-05", "value": 108.9, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-06", "value": 109.5, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-07", "value": 109.5, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-08", "value": 109.7, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-09", "value": 110.2, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-10", "value": 110.3, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-11", "value": 110.4, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1986-12", "value": 110.5, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-01", "value": 111.2, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-02", "value": 111.6, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-03", "value": 112.1, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-04", "value": 112.7, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-05", "value": 113.1, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-06", "value": 113.5, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-07", "value": 113.8, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-08", "value": 114.4, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1987-09", "value": 115, 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"value": 132.7, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1990-10", "value": 133.5, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1990-11", "value": 133.8, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1990-12", "value": 133.8, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-01", "value": 134.6, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-02", "value": 134.8, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-03", "value": 135, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-04", "value": 135.2, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-05", "value": 135.6, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-06", "value": 136, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-07", "value": 136.2, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-08", "value": 136.6, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-09", "value": 137.2, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-10", "value": 137.4, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-11", "value": 137.8, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1991-12", "value": 137.9, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1992-01", "value": 138.1, "footnote": "" }, { "month": "1992-02", "value": 138.6, "footnote": "" }, { "month": 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